Imagine that US non-farm payrolls were growing by 400k/month (that is how strong the UK labour market is)

My Danske Bank colleague Anders Vestergård Fischer had a fun idea today – he wanted to “translate” the latest UK labour market numbers into something an US audience could understand.

Here is the result of Anders’ back of an envelop calculations – if the US non-farm payrolls were growing as fast as the latest UK employment growth (Q3 2013) then the US economy would be adding 380-400k jobs per month! We haven’t seen job growth like that in the US since the late 1990s. Over the past three months US payrolls have growing around 190k per month.

So what are the explanations for the the UK labour market improvement? The negative spin: Horrible British productive growth. The positive spin: A very healthy combination of monetary easing and fiscal consolidation.

About these ads
Leave a comment

3 Comments

  1. troopa

     /  December 18, 2013

    Carney mentioned the similar thing in his NY economics club speech “60,000 jobs per month in the UK is roughly the equivalent of monthly increases in US non-farmpayrolls of 300,000.”

    Greets!

    Reply
  2. That labour market data is really so good it is hard to believe, but it is heartwarming to finally see! And Ben sent stocks up 1.6% in the evening… great day.

    Reply
  1. UK 2013 Q3 Quarterly National Accounts | uneconomical

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 3,185 other followers

%d bloggers like this: