Evan Koenig – who is a long-time defender of NGDP targeting – is out with a new paper: “All in the Family: The Close Connection Between Nominal-GDP Targeting and the Taylor Rule”. Evan of course is a Senior Economist and Vice President at the Dallas Fed.
Frankly speaking I have not yet have time to read the paper, but I wanted to share the link with my readers nonetheless.
Here is the abstract:
“The classic Taylor rule for adjusting the stance of monetary policy is formally a special case of nominal- gross-domestic-product (GDP) targeting. Suitably implemented, moreover, nominal-GDP targeting satisfies the definition of a flexible inflation targeting policy rule. However, nominal-GDP targeting would require more discipline from policymakers than some analysts think is realistic.”
So what Koeing is basically arguing that we should not see NGDP level targeting as something so fundamentally different from the Taylor rule – at least in relation to Federal Reserve’s mandate. I am not sure I totally agree, but I would certainly agree that if a Taylor rule can be said to be within the Fed’s mandate so can a NGDP level target.
I have two earlier posts relating to NGDP targeting and Fed’s mandate:
Let the Fed target a Quasi-Real PCE Price Index (QRPCE)
NGDP level targeting and the Fed’s mandate
I hope I will be able to read all of Evan’s paper in the coming days and I highly recommend to read Evan’s other papers on NGDP targeting. He has written a few. See here and here.
Our friend Bill Woolsey also has great post on on Evan’s paper.
Benjamin Cole
/ March 30, 2012Amazing. The Dallas Fed is home to Richard “Inspector Clouseau” Fisher, who recently sojourned to Japan to inform them of the evils of inflation, in florid English. Evidently, he was unaware that Japan has suffered a monetary deflation-caused perma-recession for 20 years.
But the maybe Fisher knows something that Milton Friedman, Alan Meltzer, John Taylor, Frederic Mishkin and Ber Bernanke do not. They all advised Japan print a lot more money to promote growth and moderate inflation.
I have been trying sometimes to promote the idea that Market Monetarism is the logical next step in the evolution of the The Taylor Rule. I do this both as I think a case can be made and it is good politics.
If the Taylor Rule makes sense, then Market Monetarism makes a lot of sense.
bodams84
/ April 11, 2012Reblogged this on ZLB, Neg IR and just about everything else and commented:
Saw this an thought i would share, i too have yet to read the paper but it seems to be an interesting approach.
Enjoy